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Giants +8.7 (Model) vs Commanders -7.5 (DraftKings)
Edge: +16.2 points vs DK line
Confidence:99.65%
Why: Model projects Giants offense to heavily outperform market expectations, exploiting Washington’s defensive yards-per-game allowance while keeping scoring low. Historical matchup data supports an upset or at least a cover.
Best Parlays
Craft your winning strategy with our top parlay picks, based on highest confidence against DraftKings lines:
3-Leg Parlay
Giants +8.7 edge
Titans +6.4 edge
Cowboys +5.9 edge
5-Leg Parlay
Panthers +5.6 edge
Raiders +4.9 edge
7-Leg Parlay
Ravens +4.4 edge
Bengals +4.1 edge
Model vs DK & ESPN – Top Edges
Here's a detailed comparison of our model's projections against DraftKings and ESPN spreads, highlighting the biggest value opportunities:
(Confidence % calculated using normal distribution model with σ = 6 ATS margin)
Straight-Up Winners (Moneyline Lean)
Our model's picks for straight-up victories this week:
Cowboys over Eagles
Chiefs over Chargers
Raiders over Patriots
Steelers over Jets
Dolphins over Colts
Cardinals over Saints
Giants over Commanders
Buccaneers over Falcons
Panthers over Jaguars
Bengals over Browns
Titans over Broncos
49ers over Seahawks
Lions over Packers
Texans over Rams
Ravens over Bills
Vikings over Bears
Disclaimer:We are not a sportsbook. This is for entertainment purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.